System buying patterns
There is an interesting set of dynamics taking place in the disk systems sector, the traditional bedrock of the industry.
Both demand and prices are down, as evident in the 15% fall in revenues that vendors as a whole experienced in 2002. More recent figures, however, show the erosion slowing to single digits.
One of the reasons for the modest bounce back is that storage area networks (SANs) are now entering the 'tornado' phase of customer take-up. IDC estimates that while the storage industry as a whole shrunk last year, the SANs market grew by 14%. And during the past year, the proportion of overall revenues coming from network storage (both SANs and network attached storage or NAS) has gone from 48% to 53%, says IDC, leaving direct attached storage with 42%.
Three companies jockey for most of the leadership positions across the various segments. The overall disk storage systems market is led by Hewlett-Packard (HP) with a share of 26%, according to IDC's data for the first quarter of 2003, followed by IBM with 19.1% and EMC with 11.7%.
However, there are some notable companies outside the top three: Dell is making up ground fast, and with growth running at 37% it could conceivably unseat EMC in 2004.
When external disk systems are singled out, the fight is two-way: between HP and EMC. Since its acquisition of Compaq, HP has led the external systems market (with 19.5% compared to EMC's 17.4%), but when it comes to RAID systems, EMC is still ahead (with 19.2% versus HP's 18%).
In the boom area of network storage (both NAS and SANs) EMC leads with a 26.3% revenue share, but that is helped by the large numbers of NAS machines it sells. For pure SANs, it trails HP (27.9% versus 24.5%).
There is also a two-way fight in the NAS market, between Network Appliance, which has rebuilt its lead to 37.3%, and EMC, whose share has now fallen back to 33.7%.