Analyst predicts “most severe downturn in history of IT”
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Software and IT services spending in the UK will fall for an unprecedented five years due to public sector cuts, says TechMarketView
The UK’s IT industry faces the “longest and most severe [downturn] in the 50 year history of IT,” according to veteran analyst Richard Holway of TechMarketView.
TechMarketView now predicts that software and IT services spending in the UK will decline for the next five years, having previously predicted a three year dip.
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TechMarketView forecasts five years of decline in the UK SITS market
This revision follows an “extensive review” of the proposed cuts in public sector IT spending. The analyst company now believes that overall public sector spending will fall 10% between 2009 and 2012, and central government spending will fall by almost 30%.
“This is the largest and most severe reduction in our UK [software and IT services] forecasts in my 25 years as an analyst,” Holway wrote today.
“In 2002 I forecast that UK [software and IT services] was now deflationary – we would do far more IT but spend far less doing it,” he added. “I believe this is now an established trend for at least the next decade too - and probably forever.”
